Mark Carney is Now a Whisker Away From His Desired Majority

 Nunavut NDP MP Lori Idlout

 It hasn't even been a year since our latest federal election in Canada, and Mark Carney has managed to all but ensure that he will gain the majority that Canadian voters denied him. He has not done so by earning the trust of the Canadian electorate; he has done so by the use of shady backroom deals to bribe weak members of other parties, elected by those who trusted them to have integrity, to join his own low integrity Liberals as floor crossers. The wheeler-dealer, self-identified global elite banker turned politician and, somehow, top statesman has taken the initiative to manufacture the authority to act almost unilaterally, as the Prime Minister is empowered to do so, and somehow people are surprised.

This has been a topic of political discussion for a several months now, ever since Chris d'Entrmont crossed from the Conservatives to the Liberals in November, which has been followed by Michael Ma and Matt Jeneroux. This has always left Mark Carney's Liberals short of a majority in the House of Parliament, but that safety cushion has now been removed.

Just this morning it has been announced that Lori Idlout, NDP MP from Nunavut, has crossed the floor to join the Liberal Party, after having apparently turned down a previous offer as of January 7. This brings the Liberal seat count to 170, which leaves them just two seats shy of the majority that Mark Carney is salivating over. What makes this all the more dangerous is that Mark Carney has recently announced three byelections for April in the ridings of Scarborough Southwest, Terrebonne and University—Rosedale; two of which having been vacated by long-standing Liberals, who were potentially seen as a threat to Carney's leadership, who left after accepting positions elsewhere, and one riding where the Supreme Court overturned the election results due to election irregularities; that riding being Terrebonne. 

The Terrebonne election came down to a one vote difference between the Liberals and the Bloc Quebecois, with the Liberals claiming the win, but lost mail-in ballots have cancelled that outcome. That is expected to be a close byelection, but the other two ridings are considered to be Liberal strongholds. Liberal wins in all three ridings would mean that Carney has jury-rigged his way to a fragile majority government position; if he wins only the two strongholds, then the Speaker of the House would have to intervene as a tie-breaking vote where necessary. If this happens, I think the current Speaker of the House, a Liberal MP, has to step down and someone not from the governing party has to take over, but I could be wrong on this.

This is not what a too-slim majority of Canadians want; but it is what we are getting. I have looked up some polling information on this, and the results across several polls seem to be varied. A snapshot of results from different polling firms suggests that 62% of Canadians say that floor crossing in the middle of a Parliamentary term should not be allowed, 70% of Canadians believe that floor crossing should result in an immediate byelection in that district, and 51% say that it is unethical for a party to gain a majority in the House of Commons through floor crossings. 

Apparently Canadians are not big on loyalty and simple ethics!

I found that the Leger poll had a lot of additional information available. Leger found that 42% of Canadians agree that floor crossing should be allowed (seemingly higher than the Ipsos poll), with 38% against and 20% who did not know what they thought about it. The same poll showed that if an MP decided to switch party affiliation, 38% wanted a byelection, 26% want the MP to sit as an independent until the next general election, 20% have no issues with an immediate change of seat and 15% don't know their position.

A small majority of Canadians (42%) believe that such a move by an MP is motivated by personal gain, with 37% believing that "an individual’s core principles and personal convictions" are the most likely motivation, and 21% don't know.

What I found to be particularly interesting in this Leger poll was the position of Canadians on offering incentives to members of other parties to switch sides. Fully 67% of Canadians polled stated that they are against incentives being offered, with 18% in favour of incentives being allowed and 15% did not have an opinion on the matter.

This comes into play as we examine the floor crossings that have occurred thus far. Though we can only examine them from a distance, since there is no compulsion for parties to expose any deals that have been made, there could be a pattern that has emerged.

When d'Entremont crossed, it was widely suspected that this was due to the Conservatives' refusal to support him in his desire to resume his previous role as an alternate Speaker of the House. This was political strategy on the part of the Conservatives, as allowing it would remove a vote from the Conservative bench when d'Entrmont would be occupying the seat. The position adds a pay bonus ($50,000?) and special perks which d'Entremont has previously enjoyed. It is likely that his defection was purely out of spite and the Liberals capitalized on his childishness with no other apparent benefit coming to d'Entremont.

When Michael Ma crossed the floor, he seemed to make a better deal. Ma is now widely known to have connections to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) through organizations here in Canada. How this was not known prior to Ma being given the nomination for the Conservative Party is a huge oversight. With Mark Carney pursuing further economic, political and social ties with China, drawing Ma across the aisle was a boon to his diplomatic gestures towards China. Keep in mind that during the 2025 election debate, when asked what the greatest threat to Canada was, Mark Carney stated, unprovoked and without hesitation, that China is the greatest threat to Canada; yet now he is openly pursuing closer ties with China, including in media, natural resource infrastructure and policing. Michael Ma joined Mark Carney on his trip to China for trade negotiations just weeks after his defection to the Liberal Party, and his defection came with a post to Carney's trade negotiation team. Considering that d'Entrmont seems to have come away with nothing other than a chance to sit with the governing party, Ma seems to have made a better deal.

Matt Jeneroux was the third MP to cross the floor since the 2025 election. He originally stated in the fall of 2025 that he was going to be stepping away from politics for "family reasons".  The story was that his riding in Edmonton, Alberta was too far from where his wife and family were spending their time, in Victoria, due to her work as a surgeon. It took a few months of Jenoroux dodging his Parliamentary duties before he came out with his decision to join the Carney Liberals; a position that came with an appointment to be a special advisor to Mark Carney on "economic and security partnerships", and resulted in Jeneroux joining Carney on a trade mission trip as well. It seems like Jeneroux also defected up.

Now we will wait a little while to see what enticement Carney used to get Idlout to cross the floor to the Liberals. It shouldn't take long, unless she is as bad at negotiating as Chris d'Entrmont appears to have been. I would hope that she at least saw the pattern of the men who crossed before her and negotiated an acceptable deal for the sale of her integrity.

The main stream media likes to point out that there have been many floor crossings over the years and this this is not a new phenomenon. The problem is that those crossings have been relatively few and far between, and those crossings have not affected the balance of power in the way that these latest floor crossings threaten to do. The combinations of these crossings plus the likely outcomes of the coming byelections will likely change the dynamic of our current government from one that is restrained by the opposition parties, forcing collaboration between the governing Liberals and the opposition, to one wherein the Liberals will be able to force through their own agendas with the opposition parties amounting to nothing more than an annoyance.

Considering Mark Carney's flip-flopping on relations with China and his positions on foreign policy around the Iran war, and keeping in mind that virtually every deal that he has been working to negotiate overseas has been benefiting Brookfield owned companies, Canadians should be concerned that Mark Carney is using Canadian tax payer money to enrich himself and his friends. Liberals like to claim that there is a conflict of interest screen to prevent this, and that Carney is acting in alignment with the Conflict of Interests Act, but they fail to recognize that the screen is ineffective when Carney knows what he was invested in prior to entering politics, completely gutting the efficacy of a screen, and also completely ignoring that Mark Carney has met with agents of Brookfield since having become Prime Minister, with no repercussions thus far for his breaches. On top of this, Canadians still have not been told the details of the Memorandum of Understanding that Carney has signed with China. One has to wonder what Mark Carney is giving up to China and why he doesn't want Canadians to know about it.

I have said before that Mark Carney is not to be trusted and that he is not here for Canadians. He wasn't even living in Canada for at least ten years prior to entering politics, and he has barely been in the country that he is supposed to be running since becoming Prime Minister. There are even reports that his wife still uses their New York home as her primary residence, and Mark Carney has not stayed in the country long enough to have a primary residence. 

Justin Trudeau had a horrendous record of appearing in the House of Commons to face the scrutiny of the Opposition Parties; Mark Carney makes Trudeau's dodgings look like those of an amateur. He is constantly jet-setting around the world to meet with his friends in other countries, and his schedule has too many personal meetings that are kept off the record to make Canadians comfortable. We should know who he is meeting with and what they are discussing, but we are being intentionally kept in the dark. Mark Carney is acting like a king, not a public servant.

We did not elect a king. Our political system is supposed to grant Canadians a say in not only who our governmental leader is supposed to be, but also the nature of that government's authority and the backstops to running amok. Mark Carney was not given a majority mandate by the Canadian electorate, but he is negotiating in bad faith to undermine the choices of Canadians to his own benefit. Any political leader of a democratically based country who is so willing and even so eager to pursue a majority position by taking the choice away from the voters is a man not to be trusted.

There is a date coming up when a select few Canadians have the chance to hold this government to the minority position that they were given in the 2025 election. On April 13, the voters in the ridings of Scarborough Southwest, Terrebonne and University—Rosedale have the chance to do the right thing and reject the Liberal majority that is being bought and paid for with Canadian tax dollars. Canada needs the Liberal voters in the ridings of Scarborough Southwest, Terrebonne and University—Rosedaleto do the unlikely; we need the Liberal voters to return democracy to Canada by withholding their votes from the Liberal Party in the coming by-elections. I am not asking them to vote against their conscience, but to rather withhold their Liberal vote according to their conscience and stop the steal of the 2025 election by a man of such low integrity that he is acting to expand his own influence and wealth with Canadian assets, selling off the countries sovereignty to the country that he himself has claimed is the greatest threat to us, and turning his, and by extension our backs on the greatest and closest ally that this country has ever had in the United States. The U.S. will be there in three more years; Donald Trump will be gone. We should not be imploding that relationship because of Carney's personal goals and failings.

Mark Carney is a danger to the security and welfare of Canadians. The legacy media will not tell Canadians this because they are bought and paid for by the Liberal Party with tax payer money, but the truth of the media bias is beginning to come out, starting with the Parliamentary testimony of Travis Dhanraj about the blatant Liberal bias of the CBC. Liberal voters have hurt Canadians by electing this government in the first place. I can't blame them too much because they voted according to what the media told them; which has been biased for a long time. I just ask Liberal voters to become better informed than what the media will offer to them.

I plead with Liberal voters to impede Mark Carney's destructive plans before it is too late for Canada to come back from this. The only way to do this is to deny him any wins in the upcoming April 13 byelections.

If you would like a little more information on this move and what it means for our current sitting of Parliament, feel free to watch this 9 1/2 minute video from Northern Perspective.

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